Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.8% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Lafferty leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 55.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 89.1%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 63.8%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Hintz
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Hintz
Lafferty
Last 10: Hintz 4-6 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hintz
Lafferty
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
2
4
Hintz
Lafferty
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Hintz
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,722)
48.0% (1,413)
+5.8%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
45.7% (46)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (221)
43.5% (184)
+9.4%
On power play, Hintz has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hintz is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,728).
Hintz shoots left. Lafferty is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,248).
Home / Away
Hintz
Lafferty
Home
54.9% (2,317)
47.3% (833)
Away
52.9% (2,193)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Hintz
Lafferty
P1
55.5%
49.4%
P2
53.9%
43.1%
P3
52.7%
49.8%
OT
49.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |