Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 55.3% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 59.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 59.1%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 52.7%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Hintz
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hintz
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Hintz
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
0
Hintz
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (512)
42.6% (324)
+13.7%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
31.3% (16)
+32.0%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
43.8% (16)
+2.0%
On power play, Hintz has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hintz is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Hintz shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Hintz
Lafferty
Home
57.3% (262)
40.9% (181)
Away
55.3% (304)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Hintz
Lafferty
P1
54.8%
42.2%
P2
56.0%
36.4%
P3
57.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
59.0%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |