Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 54.0% vs Seguin 54.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.2%
Defensive zone
Colton 52.8%
Neutral zone
Colton 52.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Colton
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Colton
Seguin
Last 5: Colton 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Colton
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Colton
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (173)
55.0% (713)
+1.1%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
56.7% (104)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Colton is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Colton shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Colton
Seguin
Home
55.3% (94)
56.2% (443)
Away
56.8% (95)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Colton
Seguin
P1
48.1%
54.2%
P2
62.5%
52.9%
P3
57.1%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
56.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |