Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.4% vs Seguin 55.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 54.6%
Defensive zone
Colton 62.9%
Neutral zone
Colton 56.3%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Colton
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Colton
Seguin
Last 5: Colton 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Colton
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Colton
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Colton
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (741)
56.9% (478)
-4.8%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
57.4% (54)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
51.3% (76)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Colton is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Colton shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Colton
Seguin
Home
54.0% (411)
57.4% (317)
Away
49.1% (409)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Colton
Seguin
P1
56.7%
50.3%
P2
53.1%
60.4%
P3
46.3%
58.0%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |