Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.0% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Colton 63.7%
Defensive zone
Colton 62.3%
Neutral zone
Colton 64.5%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Colton
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Colton
Seguin
Last 10: Colton 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Colton
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Colton
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Colton
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,800)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.1%
Power Play
48.8% (162)
55.9% (810)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
49.3% (762)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Colton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Colton shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Colton
Seguin
Home
51.9% (1,013)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
50.2% (978)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Colton
Seguin
P1
53.5%
52.8%
P2
52.6%
53.3%
P3
47.9%
54.7%
OT
25.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |