Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.4%). Roy wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 58.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 51.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Roy
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Roy
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
49.6% (2,027)
-0.9%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
41.5% (41)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
43.9% (467)
+1.6%
On power play, Roy has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Roy shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Roy
Carpenter
Home
49.5% (2,221)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Roy
Carpenter
P1
50.8%
49.6%
P2
46.3%
47.7%
P3
48.1%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |