Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 49.4% vs Carpenter 49.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 54.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 66.4%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 60.4%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Hintz
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hintz
Carpenter
Last 5: Hintz 1-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Hintz
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hintz
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Hintz
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (383)
51.9% (81)
-4.1%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
41.2% (17)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
55.8% (43)
42.9% (28)
+12.9%
On power play, Hintz has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Hintz is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Hintz shoots left. Carpenter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Hintz
Carpenter
Home
51.6% (248)
60.3% (68)
Away
46.6% (221)
34.5% (58)
By Period
Hintz
Carpenter
P1
49.3%
43.2%
P2
53.2%
55.8%
P3
44.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
48.0%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
49.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |