Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 51.2% vs Hertl 52.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 71.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 77.5%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 55.0%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Carpenter
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carpenter
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Carpenter
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (299)
51.6% (1,084)
+1.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
61.0% (246)
-27.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (86)
44.1% (136)
+2.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Carpenter shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Hertl
Home
54.6% (207)
55.2% (696)
Away
48.1% (181)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Carpenter
Hertl
P1
52.3%
55.4%
P2
51.5%
54.8%
P3
50.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
44.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |