Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 52.2% vs Jost 40.8% (+15.2%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 62.3%
Defensive zone
Jost 52.7%
Neutral zone
Jost 56.9%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Carpenter
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (113)
41.8% (388)
+11.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (3)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
21.7% (60)
+38.3%
On power play, Carpenter has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Carpenter shoots right. Jost is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Jost
Home
58.5% (65)
42.6% (230)
Away
49.2% (59)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Carpenter
Jost
P1
65.8%
43.2%
P2
50.0%
38.2%
P3
47.9%
34.6%
Final 5 min
43.5%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%