Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Carpenter wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 48.2% vs Jost 45.0% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
Jost 69.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 70.0%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 56.6%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Carpenter
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (404)
43.3% (194)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
25.0% (8)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Carpenter shoots right. Jost is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Jost
Home
48.9% (274)
39.7% (78)
Away
46.6% (232)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Carpenter
Jost
P1
51.9%
40.5%
P2
49.4%
43.2%
P3
41.8%
44.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.6%