Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 46.0% vs Carrick 53.0% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 63.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 92.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 68.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 92.0%
8.0%
92.0%
Donato
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Donato
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (180)
53.9% (521)
-9.5%
Power Play
43.2% (37)
57.1% (35)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
51.5% (229)
-11.5%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Donato is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Donato shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Donato
Carrick
Home
45.4% (97)
52.7% (408)
Away
43.2% (125)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Donato
Carrick
P1
36.2%
51.4%
P2
48.6%
56.6%
P3
46.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
45.2%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |