Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 48.1% vs Carrick 53.8% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 61.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 87.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 71.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Donato
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Donato
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (258)
55.1% (439)
-7.0%
Power Play
43.2% (37)
66.7% (3)
-23.5%
On power play, Carrick has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Donato is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Donato shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Donato
Carrick
Home
45.8% (142)
58.2% (225)
Away
49.0% (153)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Donato
Carrick
P1
48.1%
56.7%
P2
46.6%
52.8%
P3
46.8%
54.4%
Final 5 min
56.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |