Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 46.0% vs Crosby 57.8% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 90.3%
Defensive zone
Crosby 79.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 84.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 82.1%
17.9%
82.1%
Donato
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Donato
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (180)
57.8% (1,437)
-13.4%
Power Play
43.2% (37)
60.9% (381)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
50.0% (54)
-10.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Donato is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Donato shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
Donato
Crosby
Home
45.4% (97)
59.2% (985)
Away
43.2% (125)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Donato
Crosby
P1
36.2%
57.3%
P2
48.6%
59.5%
P3
46.9%
58.5%
Final 5 min
45.2%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |