Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Donato wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 45.4% vs Crosby 56.6% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 91.3%
Defensive zone
Donato 83.1%
Neutral zone
Donato 86.4%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Donato
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Donato
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Donato
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Donato
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Donato
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (400)
56.2% (1,451)
-12.7%
Power Play
48.7% (119)
61.4% (293)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
55.3% (38)
-22.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Donato shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Donato
Crosby
Home
50.2% (279)
59.1% (939)
Away
38.2% (246)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Donato
Crosby
P1
44.6%
54.9%
P2
46.6%
60.8%
P3
42.0%
55.4%
OT
60.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |