Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 48.1% vs Crosby 55.5% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 52.3%
Defensive zone
Donato 65.8%
Neutral zone
Donato 56.5%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Donato
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Donato
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Donato
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (258)
53.7% (984)
-5.6%
Power Play
43.2% (37)
64.7% (241)
-21.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Donato is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Donato shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Donato
Crosby
Home
45.8% (142)
56.9% (649)
Away
49.0% (153)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Donato
Crosby
P1
48.1%
55.8%
P2
46.6%
53.2%
P3
46.8%
58.7%
OT
75.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
56.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |