Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 32.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 45.3% vs Johnston 44.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 62.4%
Defensive zone
Johnston 70.3%
Neutral zone
Johnston 55.6%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Donato
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Donato
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (140)
42.5% (318)
+0.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
55.6% (9)
-27.0%
On power play, Johnston has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Donato is 32.7% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Donato shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Donato
Johnston
Home
44.6% (83)
40.5% (168)
Away
39.1% (64)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Donato
Johnston
P1
53.2%
46.9%
P2
33.3%
40.4%
P3
41.3%
41.9%
Final 5 min
41.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |