Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 45.4% vs Johnston 51.0% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 54.0%
Defensive zone
Johnston 89.5%
Neutral zone
Johnston 81.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Donato
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Donato
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
2
0
Donato
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (400)
52.6% (696)
-9.1%
Power Play
48.7% (119)
52.3% (88)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.4% (125)
-9.1%
On even strength, Johnston has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Donato shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Donato
Johnston
Home
50.2% (279)
52.8% (458)
Away
38.2% (246)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Donato
Johnston
P1
44.6%
48.9%
P2
46.6%
52.3%
P3
42.0%
51.4%
OT
60.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |