Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lizotte wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Hartman 43.0% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 75.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 83.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 70.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Lizotte
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Lizotte
Hartman
Last 10: Lizotte 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lizotte
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
1
Lizotte
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (316)
40.9% (413)
+12.3%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
53.6% (28)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
38.9% (36)
-10.9%
On power play, Hartman has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Lizotte is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Lizotte shoots left. Hartman is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hartman
Home
46.9% (177)
46.2% (249)
Away
54.8% (177)
36.4% (228)
By Period
Lizotte
Hartman
P1
42.3%
45.4%
P2
51.8%
39.1%
P3
60.9%
40.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |