Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Hartman 48.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 69.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 51.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 63.2%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
McTavish
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
McTavish
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
0
McTavish
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
McTavish
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
0
McTavish
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
48.1% (520)
+3.0%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
44.7% (47)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
47.8% (23)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
McTavish shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
McTavish
Hartman
Home
52.3% (461)
48.3% (360)
Away
49.2% (500)
47.0% (230)
By Period
McTavish
Hartman
P1
51.5%
48.5%
P2
54.0%
45.2%
P3
47.1%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%