Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Beniers wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Hartman 45.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 54.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 52.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Beniers
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
9
(24 meetings)
15
9
Beniers
Hartman
Last 10: Beniers 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
8
1
Beniers
Hartman
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Beniers
Hartman
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
4
Beniers
Hartman
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
45.2% (4,235)
+1.4%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
47.4% (443)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
42.4% (262)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Beniers is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,447).
Beniers shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Beniers
Hartman
Home
48.9% (2,195)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Beniers
Hartman
P1
47.4%
46.0%
P2
47.1%
42.9%
P3
45.7%
46.8%
OT
34.1%
53.8%
Final 5 min
46.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 12, 2024 | OT | 03:37 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |