Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Hartman wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.5% vs McLeod 47.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 74.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 53.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 61.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Hartman
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Hartman
McLeod
Last 10: Hartman 2-8 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
4
Hartman
McLeod
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
6
Hartman
McLeod
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Hartman
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (830)
49.2% (796)
-4.4%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
44.8% (87)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
43.3% (263)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Hartman shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Hartman
McLeod
Home
45.0% (515)
49.2% (575)
Away
44.9% (423)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Hartman
McLeod
P1
46.5%
52.8%
P2
39.9%
45.1%
P3
48.6%
45.6%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |