Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs McLeod 47.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 50.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 53.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 56.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Hartman
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hartman
McLeod
Last 5: Hartman 2-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Hartman
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Hartman
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
1
Hartman
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (936)
47.8% (448)
-3.0%
Power Play
49.4% (154)
48.1% (52)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
36.0% (25)
-2.7%
On even strength, McLeod has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Hartman shoots right. McLeod is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Hartman
McLeod
Home
47.4% (568)
46.6% (253)
Away
42.4% (576)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Hartman
McLeod
P1
47.2%
43.9%
P2
43.4%
45.9%
P3
43.8%
52.1%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:32 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |