Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 47.3% vs McLeod 50.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 50.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 61.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 54.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Hartman
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hartman
McLeod
Last 5: Hartman 2-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
0
Hartman
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Hartman
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (649)
51.3% (628)
-4.2%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
68.3% (41)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (73)
30.6% (49)
+14.6%
On power play, McLeod has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Hartman shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Hartman
McLeod
Home
46.5% (361)
51.5% (394)
Away
47.3% (429)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Hartman
McLeod
P1
45.1%
51.5%
P2
44.4%
47.0%
P3
50.9%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |