Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 48.1% vs McLeod 52.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 59.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 64.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 50.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Hartman
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hartman
McLeod
Last 6: Hartman 3-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hartman
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
1
Hartman
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Hartman
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (520)
52.9% (904)
-4.8%
Power Play
44.7% (47)
57.6% (59)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
49.0% (241)
-1.2%
On power play, McLeod has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Hartman shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Hartman
McLeod
Home
48.3% (360)
51.8% (612)
Away
47.0% (230)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Hartman
McLeod
P1
48.5%
55.4%
P2
45.2%
50.8%
P3
49.6%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |