Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Aho 52.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 74.9%
Defensive zone
Aho 53.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Hartman
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Hartman
Aho
Last 10: Hartman 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
4
Hartman
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
0
Hartman
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Hartman
Aho
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (936)
51.6% (819)
-6.8%
Power Play
49.4% (154)
58.4% (173)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
46.3% (67)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Hartman shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Hartman
Aho
Home
47.4% (568)
53.9% (568)
Away
42.4% (576)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Hartman
Aho
P1
47.2%
55.4%
P2
43.4%
51.2%
P3
43.8%
50.9%
OT
53.8%
28.6%
Final 5 min
49.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 01:11 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |