Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.5% vs Aho 50.0% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Aho 62.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 70.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 50.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Hartman
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (830)
49.9% (851)
-5.1%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
53.5% (144)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
43.3% (60)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Hartman shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Hartman
Aho
Home
45.0% (515)
53.2% (554)
Away
44.9% (423)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Hartman
Aho
P1
46.5%
49.1%
P2
39.9%
50.8%
P3
48.6%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
43.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%