Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 47.3% vs Aho 53.8% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 53.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 78.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 60.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Hartman
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Hartman
Aho
Last 6: Hartman 1-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
4
Hartman
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hartman
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (649)
51.2% (785)
-4.1%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
63.8% (213)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (73)
57.9% (57)
-12.7%
On power play, Aho has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Hartman shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Hartman
Aho
Home
46.5% (361)
54.9% (548)
Away
47.3% (429)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Hartman
Aho
P1
45.1%
52.8%
P2
44.4%
58.9%
P3
50.9%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |