Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Johansen 54.3% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 73.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 71.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 66.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Henrique
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Henrique
Johansen
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Henrique
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Henrique
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (917)
54.0% (1,251)
-6.3%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
58.9% (158)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (148)
55.6% (63)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Henrique is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Henrique shoots left. Johansen is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Henrique
Johansen
Home
49.9% (567)
56.3% (746)
Away
46.7% (647)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Henrique
Johansen
P1
49.7%
54.0%
P2
45.3%
53.8%
P3
50.6%
55.7%
OT
31.8%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 10:53 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |