Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Johansen 52.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 58.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 62.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 55.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Henrique
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Henrique
Johansen
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Henrique
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
1
Henrique
Johansen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
49.4% (1,010)
+5.0%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
62.3% (236)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
67.2% (67)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Henrique
Johansen
Home
55.3% (237)
54.7% (655)
Away
55.8% (260)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Henrique
Johansen
P1
53.5%
52.2%
P2
64.8%
50.7%
P3
47.3%
54.8%
OT
58.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:01 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |