Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.1% vs Johansen 52.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 62.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 63.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 62.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Lizotte
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lizotte
Johansen
Last 8: Lizotte 2-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Lizotte
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Lizotte
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Lizotte
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (549)
53.4% (845)
-3.1%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
58.8% (102)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
44.7% (85)
-0.7%
On even strength, Johansen has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lizotte is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Lizotte shoots left. Johansen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Johansen
Home
48.5% (336)
53.2% (479)
Away
52.1% (286)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Lizotte
Johansen
P1
48.2%
53.8%
P2
54.1%
53.9%
P3
47.1%
52.0%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |