Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.5%). Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Johansen 53.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 21-9 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 65.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 61.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 54.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Horvat
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
21
(30 meetings)
9
21
Horvat
Johansen
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
7
Horvat
Johansen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Horvat
Johansen
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
10
Horvat
Johansen
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
54.7% (1,149)
-0.7%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
49.7% (191)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
47.9% (121)
+2.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (723).
Horvat shoots left. Johansen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Horvat
Johansen
Home
57.2% (987)
52.5% (739)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Horvat
Johansen
P1
53.9%
53.8%
P2
53.7%
55.8%
P3
53.6%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 15:00 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |