Casey Mittelstadt vs Ryan Johansen
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Johansen 58.2% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 79.0%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 75.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 77.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Last 5: Mittelstadt 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Mittelstadt
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Mittelstadt
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
59.8% (625)
-14.5%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
58.2% (196)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
51.9% (27)
-11.3%
On even strength, Johansen has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Mittelstadt is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Johansen
Home
45.1% (366)
60.3% (436)
Away
46.8% (370)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Johansen
P1
41.1%
61.3%
P2
51.1%
60.4%
P3
45.9%
56.0%
OT
30.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |