Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.9% vs Johansen 51.8% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 71.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 72.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 73.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Coyle
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Coyle
Johansen
Last 8: Coyle 1-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Coyle
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Coyle
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (663)
51.6% (1,127)
-5.0%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
53.6% (267)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
90.0% (10)
51.6% (244)
+38.4%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +38.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Coyle is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Coyle shoots right. Johansen is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Coyle
Johansen
Home
50.4% (367)
55.0% (809)
Away
42.5% (351)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Coyle
Johansen
P1
46.8%
50.7%
P2
47.9%
54.4%
P3
45.9%
50.5%
OT
14.3%
64.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |