Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.8% vs Johansen 55.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 81.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 53.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 59.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Coyle
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Coyle
Johansen
Last 5: Coyle 3-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Coyle
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (390)
55.9% (1,157)
-2.6%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
56.5% (237)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
43.3% (67)
-0.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Coyle is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Coyle shoots right. Johansen is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Coyle
Johansen
Home
49.5% (210)
55.8% (733)
Away
54.4% (250)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Coyle
Johansen
P1
53.3%
53.5%
P2
48.0%
55.9%
P3
55.7%
57.2%
OT
46.7%
47.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |