Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Johansen 52.9% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.1%
Defensive zone
Tierney 65.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 53.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Tierney
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Tierney
Johansen
Last 10: Tierney 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Tierney
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
5
Tierney
Johansen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Tierney
Johansen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
53.4% (845)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
58.8% (102)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
44.7% (85)
+6.4%
On power play, Johansen has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Tierney is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Tierney shoots left. Johansen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Tierney
Johansen
Home
48.6% (552)
53.2% (479)
Away
54.3% (466)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Tierney
Johansen
P1
51.3%
53.8%
P2
46.5%
53.9%
P3
55.3%
52.0%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |