Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Stepan wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 44.5% vs Johansen 51.8% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 76.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 89.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 86.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 83.7%
16.3%
83.7%
Stepan
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Stepan
Johansen
Last 10: Stepan 8-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stepan
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
1
Stepan
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (942)
51.6% (1,127)
-8.1%
Power Play
48.1% (162)
53.6% (267)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (128)
51.6% (244)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Stepan is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Stepan shoots right. Johansen is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Stepan
Johansen
Home
45.6% (629)
55.0% (809)
Away
42.5% (603)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Stepan
Johansen
P1
44.7%
50.7%
P2
43.7%
54.4%
P3
43.9%
50.5%
OT
40.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |