Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Johansen 52.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Staal
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Staal
Johansen
Last 7: Staal 6-1 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (943)
53.4% (845)
+0.8%
Power Play
69.6% (79)
58.8% (102)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (262)
44.7% (85)
+6.1%
On power play, Staal has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (452).
Staal shoots left. Johansen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Staal
Johansen
Home
55.0% (593)
53.2% (479)
Away
54.0% (691)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Staal
Johansen
P1
54.3%
53.8%
P2
53.5%
53.9%
P3
55.2%
52.0%
OT
58.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |