Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Couture wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 40.7% vs Johansen 54.3% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 83.3%
Defensive zone
Couture 81.9%
Neutral zone
Couture 83.4%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Couture
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Couture
Johansen
Last 9: Couture 1-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Couture
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Couture
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Couture
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (690)
54.0% (1,251)
-14.1%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
58.9% (158)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
55.6% (63)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Couture is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Couture shoots left. Johansen is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Couture
Johansen
Home
41.3% (368)
56.3% (746)
Away
37.7% (385)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Couture
Johansen
P1
40.1%
54.0%
P2
38.4%
53.8%
P3
40.5%
55.7%
OT
0.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
41.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
39.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |