Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 79.6%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 79.4%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 53.8%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Johansen
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Johansen
Lafferty
Last 9: Johansen 4-5 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Johansen
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
3
Johansen
Lafferty
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Johansen
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
48.0% (1,413)
+5.1%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
45.7% (46)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
43.5% (184)
+7.0%
On power play, Johansen has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Johansen shoots right. Lafferty is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Johansen
Lafferty
Home
55.0% (7,001)
47.3% (833)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Johansen
Lafferty
P1
53.2%
49.4%
P2
53.9%
43.1%
P3
52.8%
49.8%
OT
58.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |