Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Johansen wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.8% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+11.0%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 51.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 50.9%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 51.2%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Johansen
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (597)
42.6% (324)
+9.3%
Power Play
57.9% (133)
31.3% (16)
+26.6%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (81)
43.8% (16)
+10.5%
On power play, Johansen has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Johansen shoots right. Lafferty is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Johansen
Lafferty
Home
55.8% (387)
40.9% (181)
Away
50.7% (424)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Johansen
Lafferty
P1
50.0%
42.2%
P2
56.2%
36.4%
P3
52.6%
48.6%
Final 5 min
54.6%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%