Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.4% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 90.1%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 52.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 54.5%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Johansen
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Johansen
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,010)
40.9% (232)
+8.5%
Power Play
62.3% (236)
100.0% (1)
-37.7%
Penalty Kill
67.2% (67)
40.0% (30)
+27.2%
On power play, Lafferty has a +37.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Johansen shoots right. Lafferty is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Johansen
Lafferty
Home
54.7% (655)
38.2% (123)
Away
50.6% (658)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Johansen
Lafferty
P1
52.2%
41.6%
P2
50.7%
36.7%
P3
54.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
54.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |