Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Johansen wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 58.2% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.8%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 84.8%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 63.2%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Johansen
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Johansen
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Johansen
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Johansen
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (625)
52.2% (366)
+7.6%
Power Play
58.2% (196)
60.0% (15)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
46.2% (104)
+5.7%
On even strength, Johansen has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Johansen shoots right. Lafferty is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Johansen
Lafferty
Home
60.3% (436)
53.1% (258)
Away
58.0% (412)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Johansen
Lafferty
P1
61.3%
52.5%
P2
60.4%
49.7%
P3
56.0%
51.3%
OT
56.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |