Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.9% vs Lafferty 49.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 69.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 71.7%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 52.1%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Johansen
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Johansen
Lafferty
Last 5: Johansen 2-3 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Johansen
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Johansen
Lafferty
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (845)
51.5% (204)
+1.9%
Power Play
58.8% (102)
41.7% (12)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (85)
35.0% (20)
+9.7%
On power play, Johansen has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Johansen is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Johansen shoots right. Lafferty is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Johansen
Lafferty
Home
53.2% (479)
49.2% (124)
Away
53.2% (553)
50.0% (112)
By Period
Johansen
Lafferty
P1
53.8%
48.9%
P2
53.9%
48.1%
P3
52.0%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |