Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.4% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 73.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 65.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 77.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Johansen
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Johansen
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,010)
46.5% (101)
+2.9%
Power Play
62.3% (236)
33.3% (3)
+29.0%
Penalty Kill
67.2% (67)
37.5% (8)
+29.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Johansen shoots right. Lorentz is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Johansen
Lorentz
Home
54.7% (655)
49.1% (53)
Away
50.6% (658)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Johansen
Lorentz
P1
52.2%
48.6%
P2
50.7%
36.7%
P3
54.8%
57.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |