Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.8% vs Lorentz 49.4% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 55.6%
Defensive zone
Johansen 53.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 50.5%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Johansen
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (597)
48.9% (135)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (81)
50.0% (4)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Johansen shoots right. Lorentz is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Johansen
Lorentz
Home
55.8% (387)
50.7% (75)
Away
50.7% (424)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Johansen
Lorentz
P1
50.0%
60.0%
P2
56.2%
46.3%
P3
52.6%
44.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%