Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 54.9%). Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 55.1% vs Seguin 54.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 64.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 77.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 57.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Johansen
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Johansen
Seguin
Last 10: Johansen 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Johansen
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
6
Johansen
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
4
Johansen
Seguin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,157)
55.1% (1,036)
+0.8%
Power Play
56.5% (237)
56.9% (174)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
52.2% (230)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Johansen is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Johansen shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Johansen
Seguin
Home
55.8% (733)
58.9% (703)
Away
55.1% (728)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Johansen
Seguin
P1
53.5%
54.5%
P2
55.9%
53.7%
P3
57.2%
57.0%
OT
47.4%
45.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:54 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |