Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 77-77 in 154 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 59.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Johansen
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
77
-
77
(154 meetings)
77
77
Johansen
Seguin
Last 10: Johansen 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
27
27
Johansen
Seguin
54 total
Defensive Zone
Even
25
25
Johansen
Seguin
50 total
Neutral Zone
Even
25
25
Johansen
Seguin
50 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
53.7% (8,071)
-0.6%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
55.9% (810)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
49.3% (762)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Johansen shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Johansen
Seguin
Home
55.0% (7,001)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Johansen
Seguin
P1
53.2%
52.8%
P2
53.9%
53.3%
P3
52.8%
54.7%
OT
58.2%
54.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |