Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Johansen wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 58.2% vs Seguin 54.2% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 78.3%
Defensive zone
Johansen 57.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 70.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Johansen
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Johansen
Seguin
Last 10: Johansen 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Johansen
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
0
Johansen
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
2
Johansen
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (625)
55.0% (713)
+4.8%
Power Play
58.2% (196)
56.7% (104)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
47.2% (53)
+4.7%
On even strength, Johansen has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Johansen shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Johansen
Seguin
Home
60.3% (436)
56.2% (443)
Away
58.0% (412)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Johansen
Seguin
P1
61.3%
54.2%
P2
60.4%
52.9%
P3
56.0%
57.1%
OT
56.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |