Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Johansen wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Gourde 48.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 77.0%
Defensive zone
Johansen 52.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 60.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Johansen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
14
(31 meetings)
17
14
Johansen
Gourde
Last 10: Johansen 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
8
1
Johansen
Gourde
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
5
6
Johansen
Gourde
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
4
7
Johansen
Gourde
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
48.5% (4,763)
+4.6%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
57.5% (367)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
39.9% (534)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Johansen shoots right. Gourde is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,873).
Home / Away
Johansen
Gourde
Home
55.0% (7,001)
49.4% (2,808)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
47.2% (2,856)
By Period
Johansen
Gourde
P1
53.2%
50.4%
P2
53.9%
47.2%
P3
52.8%
47.2%
OT
58.2%
38.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |