Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.8% vs Gourde 48.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 73.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 65.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 66.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Johansen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Johansen
Gourde
Last 6: Johansen 4-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Johansen
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
1
Johansen
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (597)
48.0% (914)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.9% (133)
54.2% (48)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (81)
43.9% (123)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Johansen shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Johansen
Gourde
Home
55.8% (387)
50.2% (512)
Away
50.7% (424)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Johansen
Gourde
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
56.2%
45.3%
P3
52.6%
48.6%
OT
75.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |